Did the July FOMC make you more likely to expect a rate cut this year?

In Japan, quite a few YouTube channels are discussing whether the Fed could cut rates before year-end. One thing they often point to is the comparison of the yield curves before and after the July FOMC meeting. From what I saw: Shorter-term nominal and real yields (around the 5–7 year part of the curve) fell slightly. Longer-term real yields rose. Inflation expectations moved a bit higher across the curve. That made me wonder whether the market has started pricing in a slightly higher probabilit

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