TRADE REVIEW: Pacific alumina demand to improve in Q3, but surplus risks remain

The Pacific alumina market could see stronger support in the third quarter of 2026, as uncertainty over Guinea’s export controls, rising Indonesian aluminum demand, and the gradual recovery of Middle Eastern smelting capacity begin to offset Q2 surplus conditions. Although the alumina market remains structurally well supplied, market participants increasingly expect supply-demand balances to tighten ...

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