CME FedWatch had July hike odds at 10.7% on July 15. By July 22 that was 34.7%, and it's sitting around 35-38% now. September hike odds are close to 80%, that's the market repricing the whole back half of the year inside two weeks. The consensus case is still reasonable, Core CPI for June was flat month over month, headline cooled to 3.5% from April's 3.8% peak, and a hold would be the Fed's fifth straight. Chair Warsh has been deliberately light on forward guidance since taking over, which give
CryptoAlerta — análise de criptomoedas e mercado em tempo real